Dynamics of War and Peace Priorities in World Public Consciousness/Opinion:

Monitoring of the Internet Data at GOOGLE, Quarterly since 2014, in English and Russian Languages, in Four World's Spheres, within the SOCIONOME (Social Genome) Paradigm of Global Peace Science (GPS)

The Feast in Time of Military Plague?*

* John Wilson (1785-1854), the famous Scottish writer, poet and philosopher wrote the play: The city of the plague, dedicated to the London plague of 1665. Alexander Pushkin (1799-1837), the great Russian poet created in this spirit a little tragedy "The feast in time of the plague" in 1830, dedicated to the cholera epidemic.

Today, we should ask about the military epidemic of humanity: The feast in time of the military plague? Our monitoring, which focuses o­n the diagnosis of global military pathology, answers to this question.

SOCIONOME Scheme:

SOCIONOME: Social Genome of Global Harmony and Global Peace:

Eternal Structure of the Society Spheres and their Constant Spontaneous Harmonization by Spheral Classes of Population at every Level: Global, Regional, National and Local Including the Human that Provides Natural Global Peace and its Objective Priority

Details about SOCIONOME look here:

1. The ABC of Harmony for World Peace ... 2012:www.peacefromharmony.org/?cat=en_c&key=585

2. Video, 8 minutes:http://youtu.be/hbxY5lREOeA

GHA 49th Project

Started: December 26, 2013

Approved by GHA: January 17, 2014

Authors:

Project Manager is Dr. Leo Semashko – Russia,

Moderator is Ivan Ivanov, and coauthors are other 40 GHA members:

Daurenbek Aubakir, Julia Budnikova, Savita Srivastava, Nicolae Bulz, Leela Pradhan, Raissa Kaziyeva, Madhu Krishan, Uraz Baimuratov, Marie Robert, Bishnu Pathak, Muhammad Khan, Igor Shadkhan, Ernesto Kahan, María Cristina Azcona, Ayo Ayoola-Amale, Alexander Semashko, Vera Popovich, Charles Mercieca, Andrew Semashko, Svetlana Vetrova, Piotr Semashko, Svetlana Kuskovskaya, Surendra Pathak, Roxana Sadykova, Susana Roberts, Hedva Bachrach, Marianna Poghosyan, Guy Creque, Adolf Shvedchikov, Maitreyee Roy, Matjaž Mulej, Apostolos Paschos, Athanassios Koumouris, Takis Ioannides, Celia Altschuler, Lida Sherafatmand, Dmitry Delyukin,

from 16 countries:

Argentina, Armenia, Ghana, Greece, India, Israel, Kazakhstan, Malta, Nepal, Pakistan, Puerto Rico, Romania, Russia, Slovenia, France and the United States.

Copyright © 2014 Global Harmony Association

Copyright © 2014 Leo Semashko

Abstract

The proposed monitoring is created by GHA in the process and within of formation of the Global Peace Science (GPS) as its organic part and o­ne of the paragraphs of this book. But monitoring also possesses independent scientific and practical importance. Monitoring the dynamics of peace and war priorities in the world public consciousness/opinion is a unique, innovative and high-tech tool of GPS with wider social designation and application similar to other peacekeeping instruments: Global Peace Index, Happy Planet Index, and etc. The unique scientific and social importance of monitoring is defined the fact that the subject of its research o­n the basis of theory of global harmony in "the ABC of Harmony" (2012) is the source of war and peace - human consciousness, from which, as defined by the UN and UNESCO documents, begins any war and peace. No o­ne science explores the dynamics of its peaceful and military trends. Therefore, our monitoring, which measures the proportion of the war and peace priorities in the world public opinion by quarters of 2014 is an irreplaceable barometer of objective trends of their increase and decrease depending o­n the state of global social atmosphere. Of course, our monitoring, making just the first step in its life has already identified a threatening growing priority of military plague in public consciousness but this monitoring is very far from perfection and has many lacks, which will be overcome with time during its wide practical application and scientific development.

Publication:

In English: www.peacefromharmony.org/?cat=en_c&key=588

In Russian: www.peacefromharmony.org/?cat=ru_c&key=610

Table: Monitoring of Peace and War Priorities in the GPS SOCIONOME Paradigm through determining the frequency of their terms in GOOGLE

Notes to the monitoring table as its rules

1. For each term in the table the unit of measure is millions (m) of uses, which GOOGLE shows and which are rounded to the third decimal place, i.e. to thousands.

In the table are the following notations:

0 - is meaning that the search query is not found any pages.

0+ - means that the number of search results is less than 1,000.

0* - means that the search query was found o­nly o­ne page - page of monitoring site: http://peacefromharmony.org/

2. The quantitative data are presented in two versions for each numbered position / line of tables: a) the broadest but least accurate, and b) the most narrow but the most accurate - these figures are expressed in quotes: "". In version a) the request is entered in GOOGLE in the usual format: the query words are separated by spaces. For example: peaceful people. In version b) the request is entered in GOOGLE in quotes. For example: "peaceful people."   

Conclusion:

Monitoring peace and war priorities in the world public consciousness in GPS SOCIONOME Paradigm in English Language through GOOGLE registered:

THE PRIORITY BELONGS TO WAR EXCEEDING PEACE PRIORITY ABOUT 3 TIMES.

IN THE RUSSIAN LANGUAGE IT IS ABOUT 3-9 TIMES.

The first quarterly monitoring o­n January 1, 2014 showed that, in public consciousness, the priority of war EXCEED peace priority, at least 3-9 times, and actually still is many times greater in view of the vast array of secret military information of numerous military ministries and departments BEYOND Internet and public consciousness as shown by Snowden and Wikileaks revelations. Military information is like an iceberg, the available part of which in the Internet is o­nly the smallest part.

This fact can be interpreted in o­nly o­ne way: it means that humanity today feasts, especially o­n unlimited consumption of the rich countries and o­n the arms race, in time the plague (rule) of military consciousness may dominate everything. There are no other evaluations. We think that public consciousness can be treated and released from militaristic plague with help of GPS, the transformative work of peace-makers around the world, and acceptance of the Constitution for the Federation of Earth (www.wcpa.biz/english/constitution/about_earth_constitution.htm).

In such dominance of military consciousness, what is surprising is not this fact but why humanity does not start out with a total war of all against all? The answer to this question and its explanation gives the GPS first chapter: total war of all against all is excluded by harmonious spheral classes – SPHERONS, which define the insurmountable social, political, economic and spiritual potential of global peace that is revealed in GPS.

Our monitoring is intended to show the trend of the military plague of consciousness, asking: does it grow and foretell war’s expansion for the people of Earth and acceleration of the arms race or does humanity suppress it spontaneously with cures from this militaristic pathology, even in small steps? This trend today is unknown to anyone, any nation, institution or government, even the UN and UNESCO. o­nly similar monitoring organized by any government, institution and international organization is able to show what is happening with the military offshoots in world consciousness: do they grow and do we find ourselves deeper in their pathology or are these declining and humanity is released from them gradually?

The scientific answer to this question, at least approximately, in such monitoring is essential for global peace, for human survival, including everyone o­n the planet. This is because the prevalence and growth of the military mind as the beginning of all wars calls into question the most valuable for everyone - life and the most important human right - the right to life.

Moreover, the weapons as the main war tool, have created a military intelligence, ruining the economy not o­nly during the fighting but also during its peace production undermining the economy from within and transforming a whopping set of useful resources in useless and harmful. The weapons production devours GDP growth, the economy drowns in endless economic and financial crises that we see now. The official (understated) 2% of GDP for military spending threatens to engulf the other 98%. Therefore, our monitoring is a barometer not o­nly of peace and war but also the economic health of humanity.

Comments and short explanation of the Tables

Definitions of peace and war in Wikipedia are:

Peace is an occurrence of harmony characterized by the lack of violence, conflict behaviors and the freedom from fear of violence. Commonly understood as the absence of hostility and retribution, peace also suggests sincere attempts at reconciliation, the existence of healthy or newly healed interpersonal or international relationships, prosperity in matters of social or economic welfare, the establishment of equality, and a working political order that serves the true interests of all: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peace

War is an organized and often prolonged conflict that is carried out by states or non-state actors. It is generally characterised by extreme violence, social disruption, and economic destruction. War should be understood as an actual, intentional and widespread armed conflict between political communities, and therefore is defined as a form of political violence or intervention. The set of techniques used by a group to carry out war is known as warfare. An absence of war is usually called peace: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War

Glen Martin’s extended editing these definitions is given in italics:

Peace is an occurrence of harmony characterized by the lack of violence, conflict behaviors and the freedom from fear of violence, within institutions that are democratic, pluralistic, and founded o­n the common good of all. Commonly understood as not o­nly as the absence of hostility and retribution, peace also suggests sincere attempts at reconciliation, the existence of healthy or newly healed interpersonal or international relationships, prosperity in matters of social or economic welfare, the establishment of equality, and a working political order that serves the true interests of all.

War is an organized and often prolonged conflict that is carried out by states or non-state actors. It is generally characterised by extreme violence, social disruption, and economic destruction. War should be understood as an actual, intentional and widespread armed conflict between political communities or other organized groups, and therefore is defined as a form of political violence or intervention. It includes human relationships predicated o­n domination, or victory, over a perceived enemy, and hence, as such, precludes reconciliation, dialogue directed toward mutual understanding, or other forms of democratic, nonviolent interpersonal or international relationships. An absence of war is usually called peace. However, peace, as noted above, moves far beyond the absence of war to a positive condition of interpersonal and institutional harmony.

Comments to the Tables

1. The Monitoring Tables in Russian (RU) and English (EN) languages ​​are a sociological observation of a quality of uses in the Internet presented in the tables terms "peace" and "war" in the numerous variants/positions through GOOGLE search engine to rate, control and forecast their. Of the many Internet search engines, GOOGLE is selected as the most powerful and universal. Our Monitoring is a constant barometer of state of world public consciousness/opinion o­n such important attributes and dimensions of global society as peace and war in two of the plurality of linguistic areas of the Internet – RU and EN.

4. The tables’ key terms and concepts are "peace" and "war" with their adjectives: "peaceful" and "military."

5. In Russian, the word "peace" has two very different meanings: (a) the world as a universe and (a) peace as a state of society in the absence of war. In English, they are expressed in different terms: "world" and "peace", which is clearer than in RU. The problem of specification for term "peace" in Russian language is solved by the inclusion of the following clarification : "peace (war absence)" as it is used in Wikipedia RU.

6. Of the colossal polysemantic and multidimensional space of meanings "peace" and "war", we selected 40 concepts in o­ne of the lexical expressions to form in tables the numbered horizontal position identical for columns "peace" and "war". These 40 concepts include 10 concepts corresponding to the four world spheres of global society and to the analogous spheral classes of the population [1, 34-36], employed in them. (Spheral classes are unfolded in the special chapter in the GHA’s new book.) This ensures a uniform and balanced representation of these spheres and their classes in the tables.

7. These spheres in a single coherent and holistic system of global society are presented in SOCIONOME - social genome of global harmony/peace [1, 40-41]. SOCIONOME is a basic theoretical sociological paradigm for the tables and for global peace science as a whole, the instrumental part of which they are. SOCIONOME provides tables by the main - stable global social structure of positions o­n four fundamental spheres of the world society as a whole, which are areas of global harmony and world peace simultaneously. The greater precision of tables requires in the 2-5 times more positions to reduce the level of their errors, but because of the enormous complexity of their analysis and calculation it is not possible o­n the GHA’s voluntary basis. This is a task for their future development in the institutional framework.

8. Considering the relativityof GOOGLE data, they are intended not for absolute quantification of different semantic features of "peace" and " war " but o­nly to compare them both vertically (columns) and horizontally (on positions) as well as between spheres that will allow to determine the appropriate quantitative proportions and priorities. This is the main purpose of tables, which provide monitoring priorities of war and peace in the world public consciousness/opinions in its dynamics by quarters of each year, starting since 2014. It begins with global peace science (GPS).

9. Of course, these tables have many limitations caused by many different reasons, but over time they, like any scientific tool, will be improved. Despite their limitations, the list of which we summarize at the end of 2014, these tables allow us for the first time to monitor dynamics of priorities of war and peace in world public opinion that is not done by anyone else. Therefore, scientific and practical value of these tables is difficult to overestimate. They are important for scientific research and for various international peacekeeping and political organizations, including the UN and UNESCO, concerned with the state of global peace and the dynamics of its secondary priority compared with the primary priority of the war, which is found in almost every cell of the tables.

10. o­n the toughest request: "Global/world peace science=book/article" GOOGLE says: "no results." This means that in the global search engine is no information about any book or article of the same title that confirms full absence of this science.

11. The monitoring tables can exist in a variety of options, among of which our version is o­nly o­ne of many. We enumerate their other options:

(1). Not in two languages (RU and EN) but in six, at least, the UN official languages,

(2). Not in the quarterly but in monthly and others time formats,

(3). Not for 40 but for 80, 120, 160 or 200 content items,

(4). Not o­nly for the world as a whole but also for the continents, regions, countries and other major spatial formats,

(5). o­n separate habitats of world religions and so o­n.

The formation of similar tables and their monitoring – is a colossal and constant job requiring special scientific international Institute in the UN or UNESCO. For this work the forces and opportunities of the GHA volunteers are clearly insufficient.

12. The GHA is currently considering the establishment of a network of similar monitoring centers in India, Africa, Europe, Russia, Kazakhstan and other countries and continents. o­n the basis of this project, the TV program "War and Peace" has also been established to discuss the dynamics of the priorities of peace and war in public consciousness, which is the first source of any war and any aspirations to peace as recorded in UN and UNESCO documents. It will be a strong barrier to new wars.

Brief explanation of the meaning, purpose and importance of monitoring

(Its detailed explanation is GPS in a whole)

As is well known, war and peace begin with the consciousness that is written in the UN Charter [2] and UNESCO Constitution [3]. Therefore, the meaning of proposed monitoring is to constantly observe the dynamics of war and peace priorities in the public consciousness within various parameters/positions in four world spheres, presented in SOCIONOME as the quintessence of global peace science produced in the GHA.

In this monitoring the paramount importance has no figures as quantitative values ​​of different positions but the proportions or reciprocal relationship between them as o­n the table columns and horizontally between positions and also among the spheres, consequently, between the spheral classes, active in these spheres.

As our tables demonstrate in RU and EN, modern people, including scientists and governments, prefer to talk and think more about war than about peace approximately 3-9 times more. The scientists prefer many times more to explore war than peace. The "military growth" concerns humanity almost in 6 (RU) and 60 (EN) times more than the "peacemaking growth," as shown in a comparison of relevant data of GOOGLE. The Internet is filled with themes of the inevitability of a third world war, a war with the Muslim world, Iran, North Korea, China, Russia, the U.S., NATO and so o­n, with almost every country.

Therefore, the public consciousness of modernity has a pronounced military priority – this is militarist consciousness and thinking of dying modern industrial civilization. In modern public consciousness, about o­ne-quarter is peaceful and three quarters - is military and militaristic, as shown by this study. With all its limitations and possible deficiencies, it is convincing empirical evidence of the war priority and not peace in modern public consciousness. Sadly, war is considered at least three times more important and valuable and urgent than peace. The data for some items are staggering in comparison with the monstrous, in thousand times or more, prevalence of military priorities.

According to scientists-historians, in the history of mankind there have been over 15,000 wars, in which up to 3.5 billion people were killed. Therefore, human history is recognized as "the history of self-destruction". We could say that humanity has always fought in history. Historians estimate that for the past 5500 years, people have been able to live in peace for o­nly a paltry 300 years, which means that civilization lived in peace in every century for o­nly a week"[4]. As seen from the monitoring, humanity does not intend to depart from this suicidal tradition, continuing to give priority to war instead of peace and keeping its lack of peace consciousness. At humanity, as monitored, there is no science of the global peace, capable of consolidating its peaceful mind and giving it precedence over military consciousness and military practice.

Of course, the public consciousness, as shown by its "peace/war" monitoring, is full with contradictions and paradoxes. If o­ne speaks about self-destruction of mankind in these wars, then others, such as Steven Pinker, claim that "we are living in the most peaceful era in human history" after WWII [5]. Pinker ignores the arms race and perpetual increase of military spending. At the same time, according to R. Jackson [6], since 1945 the planet has experienced just 26 days of peace.

In the Global Peace Index, it claims that the United States constantly raises the level of peace and that Russia lowers it continually [7]. However, according to the independent information center “Common Dreams”, the opposite is true: The U.S. is the "Biggest Threat to World Peace", is measured at 24%, and the threat of Russia is measured at 2%, which is 12 times less than the threat of America [8]. Other fact says: "The Federation of American Scientists has cataloged nearly 200 military incursions since 1945 in which the United States has been the aggressor"[9]. Such facts of monitoring, which we use throughout this book, attest the great uncertainty of public peace consciousness. It remains devoid of the common objective, i.e. scientific foundations and landmarks for understanding and evaluation of global peace.

The peaceful mind has lagged behind the military mind, judging by the development of appropriate science, by more than 200 years. Military science began since 1799 [10] and global peace science (GPS) began o­nly in 2012 with the ABC of Harmony for World Peace… [1], which finds its development in a special expression of the scientific theory of global peace in the GHA corresponding book o­nly in 2014.

Monitoring the dynamics of peace and war priorities in the world public opinion has no less global importance and no more deficiencies than other peacekeeping tools of similar nature such as the Global Peace Index [7], the Happy Planet Index (aspiring to reflect the real welfare of the nations [11]) and the like.

Monitoring social consciousness within the dynamics of its priorities of war and peace - this is o­ne of the essential and high-tech innovative tools of global peace science.

The final generalizing model of Tetranet thinking* for our monitoring builds o­n the following chain of key concepts, expressing its harmonious whole from start to finish: 1. Socionome of global peace - 2. Internet + Google - 3. Data of war and peace - 4. Monitoring of these priorities.

Model -1: Epistemology of monitoring in global peace science

 *Philosophy and methodology of the four-dimensional harmonious holistic and network thinking, abbreviated - Tetranet thinking found a detailed study, expression and application in the ABC of Harmony [1, 68-79, etc.] and its previous works, summarized in it.

Bibliography

1. Semashko, Leo and GHA 75 coauthors (2012). The ABC of Harmony for World Peace, Harmonious Civilization and Tetranet Thinking.New Delhi, Doosra Mat Prakashan. http://peacefromharmony.org/?cat=en_c&key=478

2. Charter of the United Nations. www.un.org/en/documents/charter/index.shtml

3. Constitution of the UNESCO: http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0021/002161/216192e.pdf#page=7

4.http://oko-planet.su/history/historynew/202828-istoriya-chelovechestva-kak-istoriya-samounichtozheniya-35-mlrd-chelovek-pogiblo-v-voynah.html

5. Pinker, Steven (2011). The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined. Viking, http://ge.tt/1gnq3JX/v/7

6. Jackson, Robert J. (1997) NATO AND PEACEKEEPING. Visiting Fellow Centre for International Studies and Clare Hall, University of Cambridge. Final Report for NATO Fellowship. http://www.nato.int/acad/fellow/95-97/jackson.pdf

7. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Peace_Index

8. http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2013/12/31-6

9. http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/8717.Perpetual_War_for_Perpetual_Peace

10. Bülow, Adam. D. H. von. Geist des Neueren Kriegssystems (Spirit of Modern Military Systems) http://reader.digitale-sammlungen.de/resolve/display/bsb10784466.html

11. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Happy_Planet_Index

GHA Social Ideal,

Peace from Harmony

=====================================================================================

GHA: Sociological Monitoring of War and Peace within Global Peace Science (GPS) Was Approved

Dear GHA members, friends in peace,

We, with Glen Martin, coleader of this project, are happy to inform you that the GHA new project, briefly: Monitoring of Peace and War (in attachment), which is the part of Global Peace Science (GPS) and was created within its methodology of the SOCIONOME (social genome of global peace from harmony) was approved the GHA unanimously. During the days of its discussion about 40 peacemakers joined to it from 16 countries: Argentina, Armenia, Ghana, Greece, Malta, India, Israel, Kazakhstan, Nepal, Pakistan, Puerto Rico, Romania, Russia, Slovenia, France, and USA. The project has not received any "NO" during our open democratic public discussion and voting. This monitoring is a peacemaking tool of GPS and GPS is the key part of its scientific basis.

We, with Glen, express our sincere gratitude to all participants for this en bloc vote. We hope that to this project and GPS will join other peacemakers from the GHA and other organizations as proposed monitoring is an innovative and effective tool for building global peace, serving as a barometer of war and peace in world public opinion. What can prevent peacemakers from recognizing this new peace tool?

With its simplification, for example, up to 40 instead of 80 indicators, retaining o­nly the most accurate figures quoted: "", it can be used by almost every peacemaker, knowing the Internet and its search engine Google. Such monitoring can be arranged for any continent, any region and any country separately in special centers. The GHA is currently considering the establishment of a network of similar monitoring centers in India, Africa, Europe, Russia, Kazakhstan and other countries and continents. o­n the basis of this project, the TV program "War and Peace" has also been established to discuss the dynamics of the priorities of peace and war in public consciousness, which is the first source of any war and any aspirations to peace as recorded in UN and UNESCO documents. It will be a strong barrier to new wars.

The first quarterly monitoring o­n January 1, 2014 showed that, in public consciousness, the priority of war EXCEEDS peace priority, at least 3-9 times, and actually still is many times greater in view of the vast array of secret military information of numerous military ministries and departments BEYOND Internet and public consciousness as shown by Snowden and Wikileaks revelations. Military information is like an iceberg, the available part of which in the Internet is o­nly the smallest part. This fact can be interpreted in o­nly o­ne way: it means that humanity today feasts, especially in unlimited consumption of the rich countries and o­n the arms race in time the plague (rule) of military consciousness may dominate everything. There are no other evaluations. We think that public consciousness can be treated and released from militaristic plague with help of GPS, the transformative work of peace-makers around the world, and acceptance of the Constitution for the Federation of Earth (http://worldparliament-gov.org/constitution/the-earth-constitution).

Therefore, we are pleased to o­nce again invite scientists-peacemakers to participate in the GPS book, the basic ideas, Contents in the first approximation and requirements to articles of which are published here: www.peacefromharmony.org/?cat=en_c&key=585

In such dominance of military consciousness, what is surprising is not this fact but why humanity does not start out with a total war of all against all? The answer to this question is provided by GPS and no any other science.There are overwhelming ethical, social, political, and economic reasons for peace, which are explained in GPS.

The GPS legal supplement is the Earth Constitution created by World Constitution and Parliament Association. It is now in the process of establishing worldwide public recognition (www.wcpa.biz, www.worldparliament-gov.org).

The monitoring project is published with new additions and changes in the new edition here: www.peacefromharmony.org/?cat=en_c&key=588. We thank Dr. Bruce Cook, President of GHA-USA for its final editing. All peacemakers are welcome to join this project without restrictions.

We hope that this monitoring as a necessary and effective peacemaking tool, which is not yet at peacemakers, will find support and new adherents from around the world.

With best wishes for peace from harmony,

Monitoring Project Managers and GPS Co-editors:

Dr. Leo Semashko

GHA President

(www.peacefromharmony.org)

and

Dr. Glen T. Martin

President, World Constitution and Parliament Assoc. (www.wcpa.biz, www.worldparliament-gov.org)

President, Institute o­n World Problems (www.worldproblems.net)

Professor of Philosophy, Radford University (www.radford.edu/gmartin)
20/01/14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------